% of latent syphilis that leads to tertiary syphilis
Front
28
Back
Chlamydia in the US
Front
Higher in women
More concentrated in bible belt
Increasing number of cases
Chlamydia trachomatis
Back
Viral STIs
Front
Herpes simplex (HSV)
HIV
HPV
Back
Differential Equations
Front
Express how much a system changes over time. Used to calculate size of a system at different times. Can be used to predict course of an epidemic.
Back
How is HPV transmitted
Front
Sexual contact
Non sexual routes
Back
Those most at risk for syphilis
Front
MSM (50%) cases
Men who have sex with men and women
MSW
Women
Back
R
Front
people in the state of recovery
Back
Gamma
Front
Rate of recovery
Rate at which recover from infection per day
Cure
Estimated directly from a cohort of infected people
Not dependent on number of infected people
Back
Secondary syphilis
Front
Disseminated rash
Generalized lymph
Back
%of latent syphilis that leads to no further complications
Front
72
Back
When does an epidemic peak?
Front
When the proportion of people who are still susceptible is equal to R0
Force of infection/ effective contact parameter
Probability susceptible person gets infected
The force of infection
Probability a susceptible individual acquires infection per unit time
estimated directly from a cohort of susceptible people
Dependent on beta, c, and dependency
Probability of infection depends on number of people who are infected
Back
Complications with chlamydia
Front
ectopic pregnancy
infertility
Back
Which strains of HPV cause the majority of worldwide cervical cancers
Front
HPV 16 (54%)
HPV 18 (13%)
Back
R0 using SIR model
Front
lambda at t0 *1/gamma
Also known as Rt
will always decrease over the course of an epidemic due to depletion of susceptibles
Back
2 Types of Anal intercourse
Front
receptive
insertive
Back
How many types of HPV are oncogenic
Front
15 to 20
Back
HSV 2
Front
more common genital herpes
Back
Course of Syphilis Infection
Front
Infection
Primary
Secondary
Latent
Tertiary
Back
SIR Model
Front
susceptible, infected, recovered
Divide population into compartments, susceptible, infectious, recovered.
Reflect rate at which flow between those boxes
Back
Population structure in SIR model
Front
assume homogenous mixing
since it is a compartmental model, assume same chance of contact with infected people
account for heterogeneity by adding more compartments
Back
The most common STI
Front
Chlamydia
Back
Tertiary syphilis
Front
Cardiovascular syphilis
Late neuro complications
Back
HSV 1
Front
more common oral herpes
Back
Syphilis in the US
Front
Trepomena palladium
Higher in males, growing number of cases now
Back
Negative lambda
Front
As incident cases occur, people leave susceptibles
Back
Which strains of HPV are most often associated with genital warts
Front
HPV 6
HPV 11
Back
Today, do men or women have higher rates in syphilis?
Front
Men
Driven by high risk populations
Back
Why is syphilis less common
Front
less infectious
more common in high turnover people
High risk groups
Back
Types of STI
Front
Bacterial
Viral
Back
Herpes Simplex
Front
Common virus
Carrier states that can reactivate
Sores arise when transmissible
Can be vertically transmitted
Back
HPV structure
Front
non enveloped
double stranded DNA virus
Back
Latent Syphilis
Front
Non replicating and non infectious
a majority of cases
Back
How many incident cases Chlamydia per year
Front
2 to 3 million
BUT
1.6 million diagnosed
Back
# of Americans that have had herpes
Front
1/6 or 40 M
Most are asymptomatic carriers
Back
Infection with syphilis
Front
Growth of organism at site of infection
Dissemination into tissues including CNS
Back
% of women with asymptomatic chlamydia
Front
50%
Often diagnosed more
Back
Which stages of syphilis are more reported because they indicate incident infections
Front
primary and secondary
Back
How many types of HPV are anogenital
Front
30 to 40
Back
% of men with asymptomatic chlamydia
Front
30
Back
STI
Front
Infection transmitted through sexual contact
Back
Bacterial STIs
Front
chlamydia, gonorrhea, syphilis
Back
Why are STI rates high in alaska
Front
Small networks
young population
Back
Global distribution of HPV
Front
worldwide 10%
high prevalence and cancers in africa and south america
Back
Section 2
(50 cards)
Phase 2 sti epidemics
Front
hyper-endemic
mass media campaigns
screening and tx services
partner notification
community level behavioral interventions
continued outreach to high risk
Back
Re-emerging infectious disease
Front
infectious agents that have been known for some time, were no longer considered public problems, and are now showing upward trends in incidence and or public health concern
ex. new problem gonorrhea resistant to antibiotics
Back
Examples of reemerging infectious diseases
Front
measles
dengue
antibiotic resistant gonorrhea
Back
Crabs
Front
evolved to grab on thick hair
prevention could be shaving
Doesnt survive long not on body, can be transmitted on towels and sheets
Back
Trichomoniasis
Front
protozoan
causes vaginitis
Causes inflammation in women and discharge
Common for those with immunosuppression or HIV
otherwise asymptomatic
Back
Where do reemerging diseases tend to come from
Front
animals
emerge at intersection of animal an human populations
Back
Transitional concurrency
Front
overlap between partnerships
1 partnership starts before another resolves
Back
Ways to frame STI control Strategies
Front
Ro
level of intervention
sti epidemic phases
Back
Immunity to HPV
Front
type specific
can be infected with multiple types, increase risk of cancer
Back
Components
Front
a group of connected nodes in a network
Back
Why are STIs a problem for reproductive numbers
Front
exposure not random
determined by sex networks
different rates of transmission
Back
Determinants of extent of STI transmission in a network
Front
size, number, and fragility of components
Back
phase 3 and 4 sti epidemics
Front
decline and endemic
continued health promotion
vaccine
primary prevention
screening and treatment
partner notification
continued high risk outreach
Back
Interventions to impact rate of partner acquisition, c, for STD
Front
programs to reduce rates of partner change
employment programs for sex workers
reduce concurrent partnerships
establish prevention in settings of high turnover
Back
Factors contributing to infectious disease emergence
Front
host agent environment
Back
U=U
Front
Undetectable = Untransmittable
Back
Who does CDC recommend should get HPV shot
Front
age 11 or 12
young women thru 26
young men thru 21
MSM and trans thru 26
FDA approved for ages 9 to 45
Back
Scabies
Front
mite that burrows in skin and lays eggs
spread thru sex or in close conditions
Can survive on fomites
Back
Transmission efficiency
Front
B
probability of transmission varies over course of infection and other factors
viral load, cofactors, treatment
HIV very dependent on viral load
Back
Dendritic sexual networks
Front
many sexual networks form long chains
most populations have mostly diads
core group not observed, but transmission still likely
Back
Geodesic distance
Front
number of links on the shortest path between two nodes
Back
Co factors required for HPV to lead to cervical cancer
Front
smoking
age over 30
infection with multiple strains
immune suppression
Back
B for STD
Front
average probability of transmission per sexual partner
Per act can differ i.e. HIV
Back
Reproductive number
Front
average number of secondary cases generated by one primary case
Back
Core group concept
Front
postulates all epidemic and endemic transmission of STI sustained by small subset of population
high rates concurrent relationships
large number or sex links within core subgroups
sexual bridges to low risk
core groups have R0 greater than 1
Back
Transmission dynamics of STI
Front
Only a fraction of community is at risk
Heterogeneity in risk
Persistent carrier states affect prevention and control
Little to no immunity
Variability in transmission over course of infection
Back
partner acquisition rate STI
Front
c
many STI have minimum rate or year to sustain STI transmission
problem is people are not randomly mixed- need to consider networks
Back
Can HPV cause anal and penile cancer?
Front
Yes
More common in MSM
Back
Emerging infectious disease
Front
newly identified and previously unknown infectious agents that cause public health problems either locally or internationally
Back
Sexual transmission of HPV
Front
sexual intercourse
higher with anal
genital-genital
oral-genital
manual-genital
Back
C for STD
Front
average number of sexual partnerships formed per unit time
Interventions to impact duration of infectiousness for STI
Front
public health
active case finding
improve access to care
try to shorten delay between infection to care to treatment such as EPT
Back
Is HPV a necessary cause for cervical cancer
Front
Yes
Back
D for STD
Front
average duration of infectiousness of an infectious person
Back
HPV life cycle
Front
long incubation
many will clear spontaneously
Can take years
Initial
Continuing/ CIN1
CIN 2/3
Cervical Cancer
Back
Nodes
Front
a person in a network
Back
HPV vaccine
Front
Gardasil
nonavalent vaccine
for oncogenic strains
Back
CIN
Front
cervical intraepithelial neoplasia
Abnormal cells in cervix from HPV
Stage refers to size of growth of cells
Back
Connected component
Front
a subgroup in which all nodes have a link to at least 1 other node, and no node is connected to a member of any other component in the network
Back
Links or Edges
Front
a sexual relationship in a network
Back
Parasitic STI
Front
Trichomoniasis
Scabies
Pediculosis pubis/ crabs
Back
Agent in reemerging disease
Front
natural evolution of pathogenic agents such as adaptation and change
developing resistance to drugs from antibiotic use and abuse, or overuse in agriculture
Back
Serial monogamy
Front
No overlap between partners
Back
Interventions to impact transmission efficiency,beta, for STD
Front
increase condom use
reduce risk sexual practices and other behaviors
reduce cofactors that increase infectivity
suppressive chemotherapy
Back
Phase 1 sti epidemics
Front
Growth
Focus on high risk populations
targeted outreach
implement screening and treatment programs
Back
Fragility of a network
Front
determined by the number of links that keep a nodes in a component connected
Back
Embedded concurrency
Front
a partnership entirely embedded in another
Back
STI control
Front
Presence of 1 STI increases risk of getting another
Treating 1 can impact outcome of another
Opportunity to control more than 1 at once
Back
Non sexual transmission of HPV
Front
Mother to child: rare
Fomites : hypothesized
Back
Section 3
(50 cards)
Ebola Viral load
Front
transmission depends on viral load and symptoms
initially low load and low transmissibility
As viral load increases, people become more infectious and symptomatic
Based on host and source fluid
Back
Adverse events zika
Front
microcephaly of babies
otherwise mild illness
Back
Clinical management for ebola
Front
prophylactic antibiotics
fluid replacement
electrolyte replacement
management of pain,nausea,agitation
nutrition
social support
safe burial
Back
Geographic disparities in gonorrhea
Front
high in bible belt and alaska
Back
Surveillance tasks for ebola
Front
screening
isolation
contact tracing
facility based
Back
Active surveillance
Front
following all contacts of cases
Back
Challenges with managing emerging disease
Front
surveillance gaps
limited capacity for lab testing, especially novel pathogens
delay in reporting
insufficient preparedness for control
Back
important strains of ebola
Front
zaire and sudan
majority of outbreaks
Back
Transmission of gonorrhea
Front
transmitted through vaginal oral and anal sex
in women more common in cervix and urethra
5-10% in pharynx
rectum
vertical- passing through birth canal
Back
Complications with gonorrhea
Front
PID
swelling of testes and epididymis
Back
Incubation period dengue
Front
3-14 days
Back
Political context and ebola
Front
post conflict
infrastructure
government mistrust
health worker shortages
weak health systems
limited WASH
porous borders
Back
Transmission of zika
Front
mosquito
Sex
Blood
Back
Natural Reservoir of ebola
Front
fruit bats
Back
Reproductive number of zika
Front
Can vary between 1.4 and 6.6
Back
Who is most at risk for ebola
Front
caregivers
health workers
transport workers
morticians
Back
E Coli
Front
Reemerging infectious disease
live in intestines of cows
killed by cooking. in US can get not well done
get sick from toxins from ecoli going into blood stream
Back
Febrile phase dengue
Front
0-6 days
high viremia
Back
Ebola testing
Front
very sensitive but not specific
doesnt miss people, but get lots of false positives
need safe transport of sample
Back
Vector in reemerging disease
Front
Resistance to pesticides
Back
Host in reemerging disease
Front
human demographic change
most of the driving force
population growth
interaction with new environments
mass migration by natural or social causes
human behavior change
human susceptibility to infection
poverty and social unrest
Back
Symptoms of gonorrhea
Front
most often none (50% women, 10% men)
pain with urination (mostly men)
discharge
swollen testes
lower stomach pain
pain in sex
rectal soreness,itching,discharge,pain
Back
passive surveillance
Front
hotlines
reports by community leaders
medical referrals
case logs
Back
Solutions to handle emerging disease
Front
GIS to monitor environmental changes that influence emergence
improved diagnostics
new vaccines
internet based information tech to improve reporting, facilitate communication, inform
Back
Clinical course of dengue
Front
Febrile phase
Critical phase
Recovery phase
Back
Emerging vector borne disease
Front
dengue
zika
Back
Contact tracing for ebola
Front
direct- caring
indirect- in same home
funeral attendance
Back
SARS
Front
corona virus
emerged in china
spread because of travel
Back
Zika virus
Front
single stranded RNA
Back
Managing emerging diseases
Front
surveillance at national, regional, global level
epi, labs, ecologically
investigation and early control
implement prevention measures
Back
Natural host of zika
Front
monkeys
Back
What has increased likelihood of ebola infections today
Front
deforestation
population expansion
human to human transmission
Back
Direct transmission of ebola
Front
eating bats or fruit with bat saliva
Back
Critical phase dengue
Front
potential shock, bleeding, organ impairment
rising IGG
capillary leakage
day 4-6
Back
Environment in reemerging disease
Front
economic development and land use (urbanization, deforestation)
Humans in closer contact with reservoir and vector
Climate change
Greater rainfall and drought, increased vector population, change in migration
Technology
agrobusiness
Back
Dengue symptoms
Front
asymptomatic to mild for 80%
Severe in 5%
vomiting
fever
rash
headache
Back
Prevalence of Dengue
Front
present in 124 countries
annually
70-100k infections
2M severe forms, mostly children
approximately 21k deaths
Back
Components of outbreak response framework
Front
alert system
testing
clinical care
health promotion
screening
Back
incubation period of ebola
Front
2-21 days
Back
Treatment of dengue
Front
no specific treatment
care of symptoms
Back
Speed and ease of travel with reemerging disease
Front
travel of vector and animal
human travel
Back
Growth of megacities and emerging disease
Front
large population
in equatorial areas with high infection transmission
poor infrastructure
lack of access
Back
Gonorrhea as a reemerging infectious disease
Front
increasing incidence and public health concern
higher rates
transmission of antibiotic resistant strains
for every diagnosed case, probably 1 or more incident
Back
Indirect transmission of ebola
Front
eating infected animals
can survive on fomites for hours
can survive on external body fluids for days
can survive in dead bodies for months
Back
health promotion and ebola
Front
lacking
educate the population
Back
Antibiotics and gonorrhea
Front
now ceftriaxone and azithromicin recommended
resistant to many others
when prevalence of resistance is greater than 5% in surveillance, recommendations are changed
Back
Recovery phase dengue
Front
rising IGG
day 3-10
Back
Transmission of dengue
Front
single bite in a period of high viremia in an infected human
pre infectious period in mosquito is 8 to 10 days
mosquito infected for life
Back
Ebola pathophysiology
Front
immune system gets deregulated
get inflammation and vascular leaking
Back
Vector of zika
Front
aedes aegypti
Back
Section 4
(50 cards)
Inactivated vaccines
Front
whole virus or bacteria killed with heat or chemicals
extracted or purified proteins used today. are technically subunit
virus capsid proteins or polysaccharides from walls give response
conjugate can be used to boost response
Back
Subunit vaccines types
Front
recombinant vaccines
vector vaccines
Back
toxoid
Front
inactivated toxin used in a vaccine
Back
Population vaccine strategies
Front
mass vaccination
ring vaccination
Back
long lasting vaccines
Front
gives lifelong protection
Back
Recombinant vaccines
Front
type of subunit vaccine that removes essential genes and inserts into another genome to produce antigen
Back
Measles vaccine
Front
recommend 2 doses:
1st at 12- 15 months
2nd at age 4-6
97% effective
LAIV
Back
Vector vaccine
Front
type of subunit vaccine. extract and insert gene coding for antigen in a live vector
it is a carrier expressing foreign gene
Back
Vaccine effectiveness
Front
estimate of a vaccines protective effect in the real world
includes general population
influenced by individual and herd immunity
Calculated from observational study
compare against unvaccinated
calculation depends on study design
Back
Vaccinology
Front
science of developing vaccines to prevent disease
Back
Weakness of inactivated vaccine
Front
response is humoral only
several boosters
Back
monovalent
Front
also univalent
vaccine designed to immunize against a single antigen or single microorganism
Back
broad immunity vaccines
Front
protects against multiple strains
Back
Better approach to ebola outbreak
Front
rapid response
population engagement
proactive contact tracing
more lab resources
vaccine
wash
MEURI treatment
Research PALM
Back
early viral vaccines developed
Front
1930 to 1950
yellow fever and flu
Back
Limitations of live vaccines
Front
tend to be efficatious but safety concern for immunosuppressed and requires cold chain
Back
vaccine efficacy
Front
reduction in the incidence of disease among people who received a vaccine compared to the incidence in unvaccinated people
calculated in RCT
represents best case controlled scenarios
less generalizable
made to maximize internal validity
Back
Attenuated
Front
an organism that is non pathogenic but remains immunogenic
lab culture bacterial, genetic manipulation
Back
Stable vaccines
Front
does not require special handling
Back
First versions of vaccines
Front
variolation
smallpox scabs or fluids scratched into skin
produced milder disease than naturally acquired smallpox
Back
Things to consider with building clinics for ebola
Front
flow
cross contamination
supply access
Back
Mass vaccination
Front
administration of vaccine to large population in shor time
Back
Gardasil 9
Front
nonavalent vaccine against HPV
Back
vaccines developed today
Front
chickenpox
HPV
shingles
Back
Vaccine
Front
any biologically derived substance that elicits a protective response when administered to a susceptible host
contains an agent that resembles an org, usually from weakened or killed forms of the microbe
Back
multivalent
Front
a vaccine designed to immunize against two or more strains of the same organism
Back
Examples of live vaccines
Front
Measles
Back
Ring Vacciation
Front
vaccination of susceptible individuals in a prescribed area around an outbreak
contacts of index case
make buffer of immune people to prevent spread
used to control smallpox
Back
Conjugate
Front
a polysaccharide used to enhance immunogenicity
makes molecule bigger to identify antigen
Back
strengths of inactivated vaccines
Front
fewer side effects
less stringent handling
Back
Live attenuated vaccines
Front
Live pathogen, but weakened. May cause minor illness in rare cases.
must replicate in host to elicit response
produces humoral and cell mediated immunity
Back
drawback of mass vaccination
Front
adverse events more noticeable
Back
MEURI
Front
monitored emergency use of unregistered and investigational interventions
expanded access
treatments that not proven effective, not possible to study rn, data of some support , informed consent, well followed treatment
Back
Can vaccines cross react?
Front
yes
administer separately to get best response
Back
When are vaccine effectiveness estimates valid
Front
if groups have
comparable susceptibility to infection
similar exposure risk
equal risk of being diagnosed
Back
benefit of mass vaccination
Front
rapid increase in herd immunity
Back
Who introduced variolation to europe
Front
Lady Mary Wortley Montague
1700s
wife of english ambassador of turkey
had kids undergo variolation, led trials on prisoners
Back
age and vaccines
Front
live vaccines for children over age 2 years for flu
Back
Hep B, flu vaccines developed
Front
1970 to 1990
Back
polio, MMR vaccine developed
Front
1950 to 1970
Back
Critical vaccine threshold calculation
Front
1- 1/Ro
missing imperfect vaccines and non random mixing
Back
Critical vaccine threshold
Front
with increasing reproductive number, necessary effort to contain disease isnt linear
need high vaccine coverage
high benefit if done have herd immunity
agents added to vaccines to modify and boost the immune response and provide longer lasting protection
can prevent clearance of antigen to improve recognition
improve delivery of antigen to lymphoid
direct immune resposne
Back
immunogenic vaccines
Front
produces good immune response that protects against reinfection
Back
PALM
Front
RCT of ebola
trans epidemic
Back
Variolation
Front
an early method of vaccination using infected material from a patient
in china, india, middle east
Back
Safe vaccine
Front
minimal adverse effects
no or mild disease
doesnt increase risk of other diseases
Back
Section 5
(50 cards)
How long does it take lyme to be transmitted
Front
36-48 hours
Back
how is attack rate expressed
Front
percentage
Back
When is lyme most likely the cause of facial palsy?
Front
april-october
with headache
with fever
no history of herpetic lesions
bilateral nerve 7 involvement in endemic areas
Back
Neuroborreliosis
Front
facial palsy from lyme disease
Back
Mathematical models
Front
explicit mathematical description of the simplified dynamics of a system
Not perfect representations of the real world
approximate real world but permit thought experiments that are otherwise impossible
Back
Rule of 7 for low risk of lyme meningitis (not lyme)
Front
less than 7 days of headache
less than 70% of mononuclear cells in CSF
no cranial nerve 7 involvement
Back
were pandemics more common before the 20th century?
Front
no
Back
why do lumbar puncture with lyme?
Front
lyme disease and lyme meningitis both have headache
lyme meningitis needs IV antibiotics for at least 2 weeks
Back
how do structured networks influence speed of disease spread
Front
slow down transmission
Back
Treatment of lyme disease
Front
under age 8 amoxicillin
over 8 doxy
treatment 14-21 days of anx for most cases
28 days for arthritis
Back
Early Disseminated Lyme Disease
Front
weeks to months
neuroborreliosis
meningitis and cranial neuritis
carditis
Back
what are 4 properties of flu that allow it to rapidly evolve and cause pandemics
Front
low proofreading
antigenetic shift
antigenetic drift
non human reservoirs and mixing vessels
Back
When is lyme most common
Front
March to december
Back
Stages of Lyme
Front
Early localized
early disseminated
late
Back
Aseptic meningitis
Front
due to enterovirus
no direct treatment, just symptomatic care
Back
When is meningitis due to lyme?
Front
Prevalence of infections that cause meningitis almost identical at same time
Lyme treated with antibiotics
aseptic doesnt have treatment
Back
Why doesnt the BASIC reproductive number not apply to an established epidemic
Front
not a fully susceptible pop. Use Rt
Back
Late stage lyme disease
Front
months to years
arthritis
Back
Key assumption for compartmental models
Front
population is homogenous in each compartment
Back
Primary compartmental model imputs
Front
parameters governing rules for moving between compartments
Back
Are models useful?
Front
They are all wrong but some are useful
Based on assumptions
Back
How fast is headache for bacterial meningitis
Front
immediate, die quickly
Back
Early Localized Lyme Disease
Front
Weeks
flu like illness
single EM rash
Back
Reservoir of lyme disease
Front
deer tick
primarily live on white footed mice
Back
Lyme disease parasite
Front
borrelia burgdorferi
Back
When does an epidemic peak
Front
when the proportion of people who are susceptible is equal to R0
or when di/dt=0
or when R(s/N)=1
Back
Can lambda change
Front
yes, number of people infected changes over time
Back
Diagnosis of lyme disease
Front
Presence of EM rash
Two tier serology
First is sensitive, second is specific
Back
1st Tier lyme test
Front
ELISA
100% sensitivity
Identifies all cases
Back
Where does Lyme mostly occur
Front
north east and upper midwest
This is where these ticks live
Cases outside this range visited northeast or midwest
Back
How many cases of lyme have erythema migrans rash
Front
27%
Back
what percent of kids with lyme have meningitis?
Front
10%
Back
lyme is responsible for what percent of craniel nerve 7 palsy in endemic areas?
Front
50%
Back
Types of mathematical models
Front
compartmental
network
agent based
Back
Agent based model
Front
represent individuals in the system
Back
Key SIR model assumptions
Front
population is fixed
latency period is zero
infectious period = disease duration
after recovery, people are immune
people homogenous in compartments
infection only arises from infected people
Back
Unhelpful predictors of meningitis
Front
history to tick bite
EM rash
place or residence
Back
Predictors that help determine if lyme meningitis
Front
seasonality
duration of symptoms
cranial neuropathy
% mononuclear cells in CSF
Back
When is it better to calculate IR than CI
Front
Variable time
dynamic population
Back
Lyme meningitis onset
Front
over period of time
Back
Components of modeling and policy making
Front
Available data
scientific understanding
scientific insight
data collection
policy advice and question
Build, adapt, fit
Back
what percent of kids with lyme associated nerve 7 palsy have meningitis?
Front
68%
Back
Modeling and policy making in public health
Front
questions define purpose
model design based on data and current understanding
Validation shows further adaptation needed
Back
Can Lyme be detected in blood right away?
Front
No
Symptoms have to be present for at least 2 weeks
Back
Compartmental models
Front
divide population into compartments based on infectious states and other variables
state of system is defined by number of people in compartments
Back
2nd tier lyme test
Front
Western blot
Confirmatory positive with 2 of 3 IGM bands or 5 of 10 IGG bands
Highly specific with few false positives
Back
is TB solely caused by m tuberculosis bacteria?
Front
No
Back
Is lyme EM rash diagnostic?
Front
Yes
Back
When are mathematical models helpful
Front
determine plausibility of epi explanations of disease transmission and prevention
improve understanding of dynamics in a population
predict impact of changes
Back
Will a reproductive number in a fully susceptible population be higher or lower to that with some immunity?
Front
Higher
Back
Section 6
(50 cards)
Is western blot highly sensitive
Front
no
Back
vaccine effectiveness applies to what validity
Front
external
Back
vaccine efficacy applies to what validity
Front
internal
Back
3 sets of parameters for agent based modeling
Front
traits
behaviors/interactions
environment
Back
Should ebola rapid test be sensitive or specific
Front
Sensitive so that it can detect all cases
Back
Do adjuvants prevent clearing of antigen by immune system
Front
Yes
Back
Common network types
Front
random
lattice
small world
spatial
scale free
Back
sociometric network studies
Front
recruit multiple people and try to match partners and form connections
Back
Reproductive number calculation
Front
risk of transmission per contact *
number of susceptible contacts per time
* duration of infectiousness
BCD
Back
Why do assumptions required for calculating R0 for STI differ from other diseases
Front
Not all completely susceptible
Not homogenous population
STI exposure is not random
Back
Lattice networks
Front
everyone has 4 neighbors
node degree is 4
structure reduces severity and extends epidemic
Back
prevalence
Front
number of cases divided by number in total population
Back
What measure of association is ideal for STI
Front
incidence
Back
L
Front
total number of links in a network
Back
Why do vaccinated and unvaccinated groups need to have comparable susceptibility and risk of exposure for vaccine effectiveness to be valid
Front
RR is unadjusted and may be susceptible to confounding
Back
Which physical symptom indicates primary syphilis infections
Front
chancre sore
Back
Cumulative incidence
Front
number of new cases divided by number initially at risk
Back
Odds ratio
Front
ad/bc
Back
Challenges with network studies
Front
missing data
missing relationships between people
may not capture all missing people
infections not picked up
Back
Spatial network
Front
people distributed in space and connected based on geography
Back
Relative risk
Front
[a/(a+b)]/[c/(c+d)]
Back
Agent based models
Front
similar to network based models but allow for more heterogeneity
agents are people but interact to influence disease states
can also impact behavior
Back
Two obstacles preventing elimination of TB
Front
MXR
No vaccine
Back
Does STI transmission occur more rapidly over fragile sexual networks
Front
No
Back
Random networks
Front
random mixing
give rise to most severe and fast epidemics, highest peaks
Back
Is the primary input of SIR the number of people who immigrate into the population
Front
No
Back
Is dengue fever only active during outbreaks?
Front
No, it is endemic in several places
Back
Reproductive number calculation for STI
Front
av probability of transmission per sex partner
*
Av number of partners per time
*
Av duration of infectiousness of an infected person
Back
Small world network
Front
see a lot of people have close neighbors then a handful have long distance connections
generally small, uncertain epidemics
cut off from pop
represent long range connections which impact severity of epidemic
Back
In SIR is infectious period same length as latent period
Front
Nope
Back
Attack rate
Front
number of new cases divided by number susceptible
Back
Adjacency matrices
Front
use to describe connections within a population
in most ID are symmetric and undirected
Back
Egocentric network studies
Front
recruit and ask who connected to and network based on nodes recruited- dont expand upon partners
easy but miss data
Back
How did host factors contribute to emergence of ebola in west africs in 2014
Front
porous borders
mobility
health work shortages
mistrust of government
poor santiation
Back
Degree
Front
the number of connection each note has
Back
Scale free network
Front
more severe outbrekas
number of connections are exponential. A handful have large number of connections
Back
What are two host traits that contribute to the development of emerging disease
Front
human demographic changes
speed and ease of travel
Back
Node degree distribution
Front
average number of connections per individual per time step
also called average node degree distribution
higher distribution has more transmission
Back
a
Front
number of elements in the full adjacency matrix
Back
Agent based model limitations
Front
requires large amount of info about disease process and human behavior
assumptions make inference and sensitivity analysis hard
structural assumptions hard to communicate and replicate
hard to generalize
Back
Can someone get HPV without having sex
Front
Yup
Back
Degree distribution for circle
Front
1 line
Back
Network and agent based models
Front
explicity represent individuals in a population
state of system represented by people behavior and status and their contacts
Back
Degree distribution
Front
distribution of all of the individual node degrees
tend to be highly positively skewed in sex networks
Back
I
Front
the infected people to contact
Back
What are two characteristics of gonorrhea that contribute to its classification as reemerging
Front
widespread antibiotic resistance
spread thru most sexually active individuals
Back
Are STIS usually symptomatic?
Front
Nah
Back
Why does infection with HPV not guarantee development of cervical cancer
Front
Not all strains are oncogenic
Many people naturally clear infection
Some people dont have other associated factors
Back
Can STI be transmitted via fomite?
Front
yes, HPV
Back
Model inputs of network and agent based models
Front
natural disease history
per contact infection probability
contact distribution
movement
Back
Section 7
(16 cards)
lambda calculation
Front
BCI
Back
Specificity
Front
d/b+d
Back
average node degree calculation
Front
2L/ N
or 1/N times a
Back
Vaccine effectiveness in outbreak
Front
1- Attack rate in vac/ attack rate in unvac
Back
Sensitivity
Front
a/a+c
Back
Case fatality rate
Front
deaths / cases
Back
Vaccine effectiveness in case control
Front
1-OR
Back
Reproductive number in SIR
Front
lambda * 1/gamma
Back
gamma calculation
Front
1/D
Back
prevalence ratio
Front
prevalence in vaccinated over prevalence in unvaccinated
Back
Vaccine effectiveness in cross sectional study
Front
1- prevalence in vaccinated/ prevalence in unvaccinated
Back
Reproductive number through an outbreak
Front
R= Ro*S/N
Back
critical vaccine threshold
Front
1- 1/Ro
Back
Vaccine effectiveness in prospective cohort
Front
1- hazard ratio
1- risk ratio
1- CI vac/CI unvac
Back
incidence rate
Front
number of new cases/ av population at risk x time
Back
vaccine efficacy calculation
Front
1-RR
or
Incidence in unvaccinated minus incidence in vaccinated all divided by incidence in unvaccinated
times 100